Aaron Nola has gone 4-0-1 under the total in 5 home starts against the Mets this season while posting a brilliant 1.97 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. Nola has gone under the total in all 13 of his starts this season versus National League teams with a slugging percentage of .390 or less. By the way, the Mets enter today with a .386 slugging percentage.
The Mets Steven Matz has exhibited very good form during his previous 4 starts. During that time frame, Matz compiled a stellar 2.49 ERA and 0.79 WHIP. The Mets bullpen has been solid throughout the previous 7 games. This has all the earmarks of a low scoring affair. Bet on this game to go under the total for my Tuesday 9/18 MLB free pick of the day.
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