This is a think like an oddsmaker textbook bet for me. Tulane is 6-0 at home this season, They're the highest rated Group of 5 team by the College Football Playoff committee, and they've beaten North Texas in each meeting since the mean Green joined the American Conference. Yet the find themselves as a 2.5-point home underdog in this American Championship Game.

There's been nothing fluky about the 11-1 regular season that North Texas put together. What really jumps out at me is their 4-0 SU&ATS record on the road this season. They also defeated a very good conference opponent in Navy 31-17 who went 7-1 in conference play but didn't get to the title game by virtue of losing the tiebreaker against Tulane and North Texas. During those 4 road wins, the Mean Green averaged 52.0 points scored and 594.5 of total yards per game.

The weather forecast is calling for rain throughout the contest. However, the winds are going to be mild and inclement won't affect the dynamic passing game of North Texas as much as one may expect. Besides, North Texas averages 175 yards rushing per game and a lofty 5.5 yards per attempt.

Bet on North Texas as a money line favorite of -145 or lower.

Iona is #16 in the country when it comes to offensive tempo. They are averaging 72.8 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played. Quinnipiac is #23 in that same category while averaging 72.4 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played. Both teams shoot the 3-point shot very well with Iona at 39.0% which ranks #28 nationally and Quinnipiac makes 37.2% of their long-distance attempts. Both teams will play right into the fast pace each prefers.

Bet on the game to go over the total of 163.0 or lower.

Milwaukee has played 3-0 to the under in their last3 when there was a total of 231.5 or less. Those 3 contests had an average total of 225.8 and there was a combined 218.3 points scored per game. The Bucks are coming off a 113-109 home win over Detroit which improved their season record to 10-13.

The 76ers have allowed 103 points or fewer in 3 of their last 4 games. Philadelphia has played 3-0 to the under this season whenever the total was 224.0 or less and there was a combined average of only 211.0 points scored per game. The 76ers are coming off a 99-98 home win over Golden State and that contests easily went under the total of 224.0.

NBA road teams like Philadelphia with a win percentage of between .510 to .600 who went under the total by 18.0 points or more in their previous game, versus an opponent like the Bucks that possesses a losing record, resulted in those contests playing 45-13 (77.6%) to the under since the start of the 2016-2017 season. The average total in those 58 contests was 224.4 and there was a combined 218.2 points scored per game.

Bet on this game to go under the total of 221.0 or higher.