NCAAF     Army at Navy  

Navy is 9-2 and ranked #22 in the country. Their only defeats came at the hands of #9 Notre Dame (10-2) and #23 North Texas (11-2). The Midshipmen have a special dual threat senior quarterback in Blake Horvath who has accounted for 2430 yards of total and offense and 23 touchdowns this season. Considering he missed 2 games due to injury those numbers are even more impressive. He has the ability to be a huge difference maker in this huge rivalry game. Navy is coming off back-to- back upset wins over South Florida (9-3) and at Memphis (8-4) in their previous contest.

Army is coming off a 27-24 upset win at UTSA as a +7.5-point underdog their last time out which improved their season record 6-5 and made them bowl eligible. They won 3 of their last 4 contests and all 4 of those games were decided by 3 points or fewer. Their lone loss in that sequence came as a home double-digit favorite against Tulsa (4-8). The Cadets also lost their home opener to Tarleton State who plays at the FCS level.

I get the fact that anything can happen in rivalry games. However, Navy is the more talented and better team in this matchup.

All college football favorites of -3.5 to -9.5 like Navy who are coming off an away underdog upset win by 6 points or more, versus an opponent that's also coming off an away underdog SU win, resulted in those favorites going 17-2 ATS (89.5%) since the start of the 1985 season. Furthermore, if those underdogs like Army in this exact situation saw their previous upset win come by 7 points or fewer, then the favorites improved to 11-0 SU&ATS since 1985 and won by an average of 19.1 points per contest.

Bet the Navy Midshipmen as a point-spread favorite of -7.0 or lower.

  RESULTS:   LOSS    

    NCAAB     Illinois Chicago at Belmont  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Dec 13 Ross Benjamin 2% [CBB] (663) Illinois Chicago at (664) Belmont

Time: 4:00 PM EST
Total Over 155.5 (-107)
Analysis:

UIC has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 when the total was between 150.0 to 159.5 and there was a combined 164.3 points scored per game. Belmont has scored 83 points or more in 5 of their last 6. They also shot 52.3% or better from the floor in 4 of their last 5 and 6 of the previous 8 games when facing Division 1 opponents like UIC. Belmont is 9-1 (.900) to start the season while UIC comes in at 4-5 (.444).

All college basketball teams like Belmont with a total of between 150.0 to 159.5. that has beat the point-spread by a combined 30 points or more throughout their previous 5 contests, and they have a win percentage of .800 or better, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .400 to .490, resulted in those matchups playing 26-5 (83.9%) to the over since the start of the 2016-2017 season. The average total during those 31 contests was 153.8 and there were a combined 163.4 points scored per game.

Bet this game to go over the total of 157.0 or lower.

Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  RESULTS:   WIN    

    NCAAB     Jackson State at Northwestern  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Dec 13 Ross Benjamin 2% [CBB] (306639) Jackson State at (306640) Northwestern

Time: 2:00 PM EST
Total Over 143.5 (-105)
Analysis:

Northwestern has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 contests with a combined average of 163.3 points scored per game. Jackson State has allowed 80 points or more in 7 of 9 games this season and includes giving up 100 points or greater 4 times. Jackson State has played 5-2 to the over this season whenever the total was 140.0 or higher and there was a combined average of 160.0 points scored per game.

All college basketball teams like Jackson State that scored 55 points or fewer in their previous game and the total is between 140.0 to 149.5 versus an opponent like Northwestern who has seen a combined 155 points or more scored in each of their last 4 contests, resulted in those matchups playing 38-12 (76%) to the over since the start of the 2021-2022 season. The average total during those 50 contests was 145.7 and there were a combined 156.6 points scored per game.

Bet this game to go over the total of 146.0 or lower.

Betting Line Provider: DraftKings
  RESULTS:   WIN    

    NCAAB     Nebraska at Illinois  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Dec 13 Ross Benjamin 4% [CBB] (669) Nebraska at (670) Illinois

Time: 4:00 PM EST
Illinois -9.5 (-110)
Analysis:

We literally need to read between the lines and understand what the oddsmakers are trying to convey. Despite Nebraska entering this matchup with a perfect 10-0 record, they're a sizable road underdog against an 8-2 Illinois team. I'm sure many sports bettors will be enticed to take the undefeated road underdog at +9.5 or higher. However, I won't be one of those opting for that choice.

This will be the first true road game of the season for Nebraska. They'll be facing an Illinois team that's coming off back-to-back wins over #18 Tennessee 75-62 in a game that was played in Nashville and an 88-80 victory at #36 Ohio State. Their lone defeats came at the hands of #13 Alabama by a narrow 4-point margin and #7 Connecticut by 13. The Illini have faced the 34th toughest schedule in the nation to this point of the season. Despite that tough slate Illinois ranks #5 nationally in offensive efficiency, #23 in defensive efficiency, and #6 in fewest free throw attempts allowed. The combination of all those combined numbers and results on the Illinois resume will pay huge dividends in this matchup. 

Bet on the Illinois Illini as a point-spread favorite of -11.0 or lower for a 4% Top Play.

Betting Line Provider: Circa
  RESULTS:   LOSS    

    NCAAB     Illinois State at Utah State  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Dec 13 Ross Benjamin 2% [CBB] (685) Illinois State at (686) Utah State

Time: 5:00 PM EST
Total Under 148.5 (-110)
Analysis:

Illinois State has won 7 in a row to improve their season record to 8-2 (.800). During their last 5 games versus Division 1 opponents Illinois State has allowed an average of just 61.4 points per contest. Utah State is off to an 8-1 (.889) start to the season. The Aggies have held 6 of their 9 opponents to worse than 40% shooting.

All college basketball teams like Illinois State that's coming off 7 or more wins in a row, and there's a total of between 140.0 to 149.5, and both teams in the matchup have a win percentage of .800 or better, resulted in those contests playing 52-18 (74.3%) to the under since the start of the 2021-2022 season. The average total in those 70 matchups was 145.3 and there were just a combined 136.2 points scored per game.

Bet this game to go under the total of 146.0 or higher.

Betting Line Provider: FanDuel
  RESULTS:   LOSS    

SEE PAST 30 DAYS GAMES


 
MEMBERS

Username:

 
Password: