Both teams enter this Big 10 Championship Game with perfect 12-0 records. Ohio State is ranked #1 and Indiana #2 in the latest College Football Playoff Poll. Barring this game ending in a blowout by one team over the other, these teams should remain as the top 2 seeds headed into the playoffs. However, I do think Indiana holds an emotional edge going into this matchup. The Hoosiers haven't won a Big 10 title since 1967. They've also lost their last 30 head-to-head matchups versus Ohio State. Talk about big time revenge. Indiana last defeated Ohio State way back in 1988. Conversely, Ohio State is the defending national champion and is coming off an extremely emotional win over their archrival Michigan and they did so in Ann Arbor before 100,000 plus fans. It marked the first time in the last 5 tries that Ohio State defeated the Wolverines. So, with all that being said, this has all the makings for a potential flat spot for Ohio State despite it being a conference championship game.

Indiana showed their quality earlier this season when they posted a 30-20 road win over #4 Oregon (11-1). They held the high-powered Ducks offense to just 267 yards in that win. The Ohio State defense gets a lot of praise. But don't go to sleep on this Hoosier defense which is allowing just 12.0 points and 262.1 yards per game throughout 9 Big 10 Conference contests. Another factor that favors Indiana is their +17 turnover differential this season. Ohio State is just +3 in that category.

All College Football neutral site underdogs of between +4.0 to +10.0 like Indiana that are playing in game 7 through 13, and they possess a winning record, versus an opponent like Ohio State who has a winning record, resulted in those neutral site underdogs going 17-1 ATS (94.4%) since 2021. Those underdogs also pulled the outright upset in 16 of those 18 games.

Bet on the Indiana Hoosiers as a point-spread underdog of +3.0 or higher for a 5% Best Bet.

Grand Canyon is 5-3 and that includes a 90-81 home loss to #175 ranked Youngtown State (5-4). Grand Canyon has registered a win versus a KenPom Top 100 team. Their most notable win coming against #120 Utah. This is a basketball program that has developed a very respectable brand in recent season and won't be sneaking up on teams the way they used to. 

On the other hand, Oklahoma State is 3-0 versus Top 100 teams including victories over #45 Texas A&M 87-63, #79 South Florida 103-95, and #56 Northwestern 86-81.

Bet on Oklahoma State as a point-spread favorite of -3.0 or lower.

Utah is 0-6 ATS as a favorite this season and failed to cover those contests by an average of 7.6 points per game. The Utes are also 1-3 in their last 4 games. Those 3 losses according to KenPom rankings came against #223 Cal Poly, #103 Grand Canyon, and #70 California. 

Cal Baptist is 7-2 with their only losses coming against #10 BYU and #68 Colorado. Cal Baptist has gone 3-0 ATS in true road games this season and won 2 of those straight up.

Give me Cal Baptist as a point-spread underdog of +5.0 or higher.

Colorado State has the 25th strongest home court advantage in college basketball according to KenPom. The Rams are currently a favorite of anywhere between 2.5 to 3.5 despite their 6-2 record and taking on an 8-0 power conference opponent in Colorado. That speaks volumes to me. Especially since this will be Colorado's first true road game of the season. Colorado State is the #1 three-point shooting team in the country while making an absurd 45.0%. The Rams are also #16 in 3-point shot attempts percentage as 50.5% of their shots come from long distance. Conversely Colorado is #263 in 3-point percentage defense. Furthermore, they're #9 nationally at the free throw line at 81.4% and $64 in free throw attempts.

Bet on Colorado State as a point-spread favorite of -4.0 or lower.

Milwaukee has played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 when the total was 231.5 or less and there was a combined average of 218.0 points scored per game. The Bucks have played 5-0 to the under on the road this season versus teams like Detroit (118.5 PPG) averaging 116.0 or more points scored per game. On the other hand, Detroit has played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 whenever there was a total of 232.5 or lower. Those 4 contests averaged just a combined 217.8 points scored per game.

Bet this game to go under the total of 223.0 or higher.