Analysis:
This has been a series that's been dominated by Georgia in recent years. The Bulldogs are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 versus Tennessee. However, I firmly believe this is a good spot for the home underdog Volunteers. Their offense has been dynamic throughout their first 2 contests while averaging 58.5 points and 605.0 yards per game. We know how experienced and talented their defense is. Georgia is still Georgia. However, they looked a bit listless in their uninspiring 28-6 home win over Austin Peay last Saturday. They also beat a horrible Marshall team 45-10 in their home opener. Tennessee is more than capable of pulling the upset on Saturday. Nevertheless, I'm certainly not going to pass up the opportunity to take the points being given to the quality home team that's playing with big time revenge. If Tennessee wants to prove their a legitimate national title contender, this is a good a chance as any to make a bold statement.
Tennessee is 24-1 SU in their last 25 home games. That includes 20-1 SU and 14-7 ATS versus FBS opponents like Georgia. Ironically enough, their only SU home loss during that time span came to Georgia. That even furthers the revenge factor and emotional edge for the home team in a game that will be played before 100,000 plus fans in Knoxville.
College Football home underdogs of between +1.5 and +9.0 that scored 70 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those home underdogs going 5-0 SU&ATS since 2019. The average victory margin in those 5 contests came by an astounding 20.2 points per game.
Bet the Tennessee Volunteers as a point-spread underdog of 3.0 or greater for a 5% Best Bet.
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