| Analysis:
On paper this appears to be a game which is a lock to go over the total. However, when it comes to sports betting it's not as easy as it appears many more times than not. This total in this contest is a textbook example of such.
Washington is coming off a 137-135 loss at Detroit. Houston has a 6-3 season record and has outscored their opponents by an average of +9.7 points per game. NBA teams like Houston with a total of 230.0 or greater and they possess a point per game differential of +9.0 or better, and they're facing an opponent like Washington who allowed 130 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those contests playing 34-11 (75.6%) to the under since the 2016-2017 season began. The average total during those 45 contests was 236.9 and there was a combined 231.2 points scored per game.
Furthermore, Houston is averaging 17 turnovers committed per game this season and the Wizards have turned the ball over 19 times per contest. Houston is shooting a terrific 42.8% from beyond the 3-point line this season and the Wizards are converting on 39.4% of those long-distance attempts. Since the start of this NBA season, any game involving teams that both shoot 36.5% or better from 3-point territory and each average 16 turnovers or more committed per contest, have resulted in all 8 games in that exact situation going under the total.
Bet this game to go under the total of 234.0 or higher.
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