Game Analysis: New England is coming off a 27-22 upset win at Tampa Bay which improved their season record to 8-2. 

The Jets are coming off a 27-20 home underdog of +2.0 upset win over Cleveland. The Jets moved to 2-7 (.222) on the season. New York has gone 0-10 SU and 2-8 ATS in the last 10 on the road when facing a team with a winning record, and they were outscored by an average of 16.2 points per game. The Jets strength offensively is running the football. That shapes up to be problematic when having to face a New England defense that's #1 against the run while allowing just 79.2 yards per game. The Jets have shown very little semblance of an effective passing game thus far. They also rank tied for 30th in the NFL when it comes to sacks allowed

Thursday NFL home favorites of -11.0 to -16.5 playing after Game 4 that scored 34 points or fewer in their previous game have gone 14-0 SU&ATS since 1985. The average point-spread in those 14 contests was 12.8 and there was an average victory margin came by 26.0 points per game.

NFL home favorites of -10.0 or higher with a winning record, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .153 or better that's coming off a home underdog upset win in which they covered by 7.5-points or more, and the total in this exact situation was between 42.5 and 53.5, resulted in those double-digit home favorites going 17-0 SU&ATS since 2007. The average point-spread during those 17 contests was 12.5 and the victory margin came by 25.4 points per game.

Bet the New England Patriots as a point-spread favorite of 13.0 or lower.