New England has won 6 in a row and is 4-0 SU&ATS on the road. Yet, the come up as an underdog in this matchup which speaks volumes to me.

Tampa Bay is 17-5 in their last 22 games as a money line favorite. Furthermore, the Bucs 4-0 SU&ATS since 2023 during non-division home games when their point-spread is between +2.5 to -2.5. They won those 4 contests by an average of 14.7 points per game.

NFL teams with a point-spread of between +2.5 to -6.0 like Tampa Bay who possess a winning record and it's not the Super Bowl, versus an opponent like New England that's coming off a home win by 3 points or fewer and they also have a winning record, resulted in those teams going 18-0 SU&ATS since the start of the 2021-2022 season. The average point-spread for those teams like Tampa Bay was -3.2 and they won by an average of 11.2 points per game.

Bet the Tampa Bucs as a money line favorite of -150 or lower.