These are 2 very good defensive teams with Florida ranking #1 nationally in defensive efficiency and Connecticut at #7. UConn ranks #326 in tempo this season while averaging just 65.9 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played. Both teams have been outstanding defending the 3-point shot attempts by their opponents. UConn ranks #15 in 3-point defensive shooting percentage and Florida are #9 nationally in that category. UConn has allowed 61 points or fewer in each of their last which includes games against #17 Kansas and #11 Illinois. Florida has been one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the country thus far while making just 27.4% of their attempts which ranks #344 out of 365 Division 1 teams. 

Bet this game to go under the total of 145.0 or higher.

This is another one of my thinks like an oddsmaker picks that I have been quite successful with over the long haul. We have Miami team that's gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their previous 3 games versus an Orlando team that's won 10 of the last 14. Yet, it's Miami that opens and currently is at the time of this writing a short favorite. Taking the home underdog looks like the obvious play but that looks like the proverbial trap to me. I'm opting for the contrarian mindset in picking the winner of this matchup.

Miami is coming off a 127-112 upset loss to Sacramento as a home favorite of -9.0 in their previous outing which took place this past Friday. All NBA Road teams like Miami who have a point-spread of between +3.0 and -3.0 that are coming off a home favorite of -6.0 or higher upset loss by 10 points or more, resulted in those road teams going 30-8 ATS (78.9%) since the start of the 1996-1997 season. Those road teams' average point-spread was +0.1 and they outscored their opponents by an average of 5.5 points per game.

Bet on the Miami Heat as a point-spread pick of between +3.0 to -3.0.