NCAAF     Vanderbilt at South Carolina  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Sep 13 Ross Benjamin 3% [CFB] (167) Vanderbilt at (168) South Carolina

Time: 7:45 PM EDT
Vanderbilt +4.5 (-108)
Analysis:

South Carolina is off to a deceiving 2-0 to start the season. They were a 38-10 home winner last week versus South Carolina State that plays at the FCS level. But it wasn't as lopsided a game as the final score may indicate. The Gamecocks scored 3 touchdowns by way of a punt return, punt block, and fumble return. They #11 ranked Gamecocks were only able to compile a mere 253 yards or total offense versus their FCS opponents and were also outgained for the game.  During their 24-11 season opening win over Virginia Tech they also benefitted from a punt return touchdown and were outgained by 8 yards. You can make a strong case that South Carolina has been more lucky than good during each of those 2 wins.

Speaking of Virginia Tech, Vanderbilt beat them on the road last week by a decisive 44-20 final score. The Commodore had a huge total yards advantage of 490-248. Vandy will be playing with big time revenge since they've gone 0-16 versus South Carolina over the previous 16 meetings and includes a 28-7 home loss last year. The Commodores return 19 starters from last season's 7-6 team including exciting 6th year senior quarterback Diego Pavia. They rank #3 nationally in returning production rating.

College Football away underdogs of 4.5 or less like Vanderbilt that are coming off an away underdog upset win in which they scored 41 points or more, and they're facing an opponent like South Carolina who's coming off a win, resulted in those away underdogs going 9-0 ATS since 2003. Additionally, those away underdogs won 8 of those 9 contests straight up.

Bet on the Vanderbilt Commodores as a point-spread underdog of 4.0 or greater.

Betting Line Provider: DraftKings
  RESULTS:   WIN    

    NCAAF     Wisconsin at Alabama  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Sep 13 Ross Benjamin 3% [CFB] (125) Wisconsin at (126) Alabama

Time: 12:00 PM EDT
Alabama -20.5 (-112)
Analysis:

Wisconsin is off to a 2-0 starts. However, their wins came over an offensively anemic Miami-Ohio (0-2) and Middle Tennessee State (0-2) that lost their season opener 34-14 at home to Austin Peay (FCS team). Alabama rebounded from a humiliating 31-17 opening week upset loss at Florida State with a 73-0 blowout win over UL-Monroe and covered as a 38.5-point home favorite. Don't look for the Crimson Tide to let their foot off the gas pedal at home when facing a Big 10 opponent with a huge brand name. Since 2018, Wisconsin is 0-5 SU&ATS as an away underdog of 7.0 or greater and was outscored by 23.2 points per game. Conversely, Alabama 12-0 SU and 10-2 ATS as a non-conference home favorite of -16.0 or greater since 2020.

College Football home favorites of between -17.0 to -32.0 like Alabama that are coming off a home favorite cover in which they scored 70 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 15-0 SU&ATS since 2024. The average line during those 15 contests was 24.2 and the margin of victory came by 35.2 points per game.

Bet Alabama as a favorite of -21.0 or less.

 

Betting Line Provider: DraftKings
  RESULTS:   WIN    

    NCAAF     Georgia at Tennessee  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Sep 13 Ross Benjamin 5% [CFB] (131) Georgia at (132) Tennessee

Time: 3:30 PM EDT
Tennessee +4.5 (-110)
Analysis:

This has been a series that's been dominated by Georgia in recent years. The Bulldogs are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 versus Tennessee. However, I firmly believe this is a good spot for the home underdog Volunteers. Their offense has been dynamic throughout their first 2 contests while averaging 58.5 points and 605.0 yards per game. We know how experienced and talented their defense is. Georgia is still Georgia. However, they looked a bit listless in their uninspiring 28-6 home win over Austin Peay last Saturday. They also beat a horrible Marshall team 45-10 in their home opener. Tennessee is more than capable of pulling the upset on Saturday. Nevertheless, I'm certainly not going to pass up the opportunity to take the points being given to the quality home team that's playing with big time revenge. If Tennessee wants to prove their a legitimate national title contender, this is a good a chance as any to make a bold statement.

Tennessee is 24-1 SU in their last 25 home games. That includes 20-1 SU and 14-7 ATS versus FBS opponents like Georgia. Ironically enough, their only SU home loss during that time span came to Georgia. That even furthers the revenge factor and emotional edge for the home team in a game that will be played before 100,000 plus fans in Knoxville.

College Football home underdogs of between +1.5 and +9.0 that scored 70 points or more in their previous game, resulted in those home underdogs going 5-0 SU&ATS since 2019. The average victory margin in those 5 contests came by an astounding 20.2 points per game.

Bet the Tennessee Volunteers as a point-spread underdog of 3.0 or greater for a 5% Best Bet.

Betting Line Provider: FanDuel
  RESULTS:   WIN    

    NCAAF     Clemson at Georgia Tech  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Sep 13 Ross Benjamin 3% [CFB] (123) Clemson at (124) Georgia Tech

Time: 12:00 PM EDT
Georgia Tech +3.5 (-110)
Analysis:

Georgia Tech was my pick to win the ACC at odds of +700 before the season began. I also felt that Clemson was overhyped and not the dominant team they were being made out to be. Well, they needed to overcome and 16-0 deficit at home versus Troy last week to win 27-16 but didn't come close to cover as a 31.0-point favorite. The Tigers were also upset at home by LSU 17-10 in their season opener. Their offense has been uninspiring in their first 2 games while collecting just 261 yards vs. LSU and 316 against Troy. Now they go on the road as a favorite against a very dangerous and hungry Georgia Tech team. The Yellowjackets won their season opener 27-20 at Colorado while also covering as a 3.5-point favorite. Last week they played without star quarterback Haynes King against Gardner-Webb (FCS team), and they still won easily 59-12 while covering as a massive 38.5-point favorite. Despite King being out, Georgia Tech still amassed 680 yards of total offense. Their #2 and #3 quarterbacks combined to go 22-29 for 457 yards passing. There's a ton of betting value on the home underdog in this matchup as seen through the eyes of this sports betting professional.

Take the Georgia Tech Yellowjackets as an underdog of 3.0 or greater.

Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  RESULTS:   WIN    

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