The Bills are coming off last Sunday's 26-7 win at Pittsburgh, and they covered as a -3.0-point favorite. That victory improved their season record to 8-4 (.667). Buffalo is 26-3 in regular season home games since the start of the 2022-2023 season. Since the start of the 2023-2024 season, the Bills are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS as a home favorite of -9.5 or lower and following a SU&ATS win in their previous contest.

Cincinnati is coming off a shocking 32-14 upset win at Baltimore in a game they closed as an +8.0 underdog. That win made them 4-8 (.333) on the season.

All NFL away underdogs of between +5.0 to +12.0 after Game 6 that are coming off an away underdog upset win in which they scored 38 points or fewer, and they possess a win percentage of .428 or worse, versus an opponent with a winning record, resulted in those away underdogs going an abysmal 0-12 ATS since the start of the 2011-2012 season. The away underdogs average point-spread during those 12 contests was +7.8 and they were outscored by 19.8 points per game.

All NFL regular season non-division road favorites of between -1.5 to -11.5 that are coming off an away favorite cover in their previous game, versus an opponent coming off an away underdog upset win, and they possess a win percentage of .333 or better, resulted in those home favorites going 13-0 ATS since the start of the 2011-2012 season. The average point-spread for those 13 home favorites was -5.6 and they outscored the opposition by 16.0 points per game.

Bet the Buffalo Bills as a point-spread favorite of -6.0 or lower.

The Bears have become the darlings of the NFL as they're 9-3 and currently hold the NFC #1 seed. They began the season 0-2 and have gone 9-1 since which includes a 5-game win streak heading into this NFC North showdown at Green Bay (8-3-1). Despite being ahead of the Green Bay in the standings and arguably the hottest team in the NFL right now, they find themselves as a sizable underdog. Well, here's the thing, despite their stellar 9-3 record the Bears are only a +0.5 point per game differential. Even more compelling is a 5-2 road record where they have been outscored by an average of 3.8 points per game. How is that all possible? well, I'm glad you asked. The Bears have an eye-popping +17 turnover differential this season. However, herein lies the problem for the Bears on Sunday. Green Bay has only committed 7 turnovers this season and didn't turn the ball over in 7 of their 12 games.

An additional concern for the Bears that even though their 5-2 on the road they've allowed 29.1 points and 375.6 yards per game in those 7 contests. Conversely, Green Bay has allowed 18 points or fewer in all 6 home games this season while holding opponents to an average of just 13.5 points per outing. The Packers are coming off a Thanksgiving Day 31-24 win at Detroit. Since the start of the 2019-2020 season, Green Bay has gone 15-1 SU and 14-2 ATS as a home favorite of between -4.5 to -9.0 when coming off a win in their previous contest. That includes a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS since the 2022-2023 season began in that identical situation and outscored their opponents by 19.5 points per game. Lastly, Green Bay has gone 11-1 SU and 10-2 in their previous 12 games against Chicago. Back to reality for the Bears on Sunday.

Bet the Green Bay Packers as a point-spread favorite of -7.0 or lower.

These teams are headed in opposite directions with the Colts losing 3 of their last 4 and Jacksonville winning 3 of their previous 4. Both teams are now 8-4 (.667) and ties for the AFC South lead. The Jaguars are coming off back-to-back away favorite covers at Tennessee and at Arizona. As a matter of fact, Jacksonville is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 with their defense allowed just 11.0 points and 216.3 points per game. Their average margin of victory in those 3 contests came by 18.0 points per game. They'll be facing a Colts franchise which has gone 1-9 SU on the road since the start of the 2022-2023 season when facing opponents with a win percentage of between .536 to .750. The Indianapolis defense is allowing 381.6 yards per game on the road this season.

All NFL home teams playing after Game 4 with a win percentage of .636 or better that's coming off back-to-back away favorite covers in which they allowed 27 points or fewer on each occasion, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .687 or lower, resulted in those home teams going 55-1 SU (98.2%) since 1980. Since this incredible SU betting angle supports the home underdog in this matchup and takes on even more significance.

Bet the Jacksonville Jaguars as +0.0 or higher as a point-spread wager for a 5% Max Best Bet.