NCAAF     Virginia at Duke  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Nov 15 Ross Benjamin 3% [CFB] (339) Virginia at (340) Duke

Time: 3:30 PM EST
Virginia +5.5 (-115)
Analysis:

Virginia is coming off a disappointing 16-9 upset loss at home to Wake Forest. It was their first ACC loss of the season and dropped their season record to 8-2. However, they're very much alive for a Conference title and find themselves entrenched in a 4-way tie for first place with Georgia Tech, SMU. and Pittsburgh. They lost that last game to Wake Forest despite outgaining them 327-203 in total yards. The Cavaliers are 7-1 SU&ATS in their last 8 games versus Duke.

Speaking of Duke, they lost 2 of their last 3 and allowed 36.3 points and 466.7 yards per game. Their most recent defeat came at Connecticut 37-34 in a game they were upset as a 7.5-point favorite.

Bet the Virginia Cavaliers as a point-spread underdog of +4.5 or higher.

Betting Line Provider: DraftKings
  RESULTS:   WIN    

    NCAAF     NC State at Miami Florida  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Nov 15 Ross Benjamin 3% [CFB] (345) NC State at (346) Miami Florida

Time: 3:30 PM EST
NC State +15.5 (-110)
Analysis:

NC State is coming off a 38-26 home underdog upset win over then undefeated Georgia Tech. Since 2023, NC State has gone 5-0 ATS and 4-1 SU as regular season underdog during the month of November and all under current head coach Dave Doeren. The Wolfpack is 1-2 SU in their last 3 versus Miami but their 2 losses came by only a combined 4 points. NC State has averaged 6.8 yards per offensive play this season. Since 2023, Miami has gone 0-3 SU&ATS at home when facing an opponent that averages 5.9 yards or more per offensive play, and all under the guidance of current head coach Mario Cristobal.

College Football underdog of between +10.5 to +16.5 that possess a winning record and are coming off a home underdog upset win by 10 points or more, versus an opponent with a winning record who has at least 1 loss, resulted in those underdogs of +10.5 to +16.5 going 17-0 ATS since 2008.

Bet the North Carolina State Wolfpack as a point-spread underdog of +14.5 or higher.

Betting Line Provider: MGM
  RESULTS:   LOSS    

    NCAAF     Memphis at East Carolina  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Nov 15 Ross Benjamin 3% [CFB] (331) Memphis at (332) East Carolina

Time: 4:00 PM EST
East Carolina -3.0 (-109)
Analysis:

Memphis for all intent and purposes had their conference title hopes and dream of going to the College Football Playoffs snuffed out during a 38-32 loss to Tulane last week. The Memphis defense has been vulnerable throughout their previous 5 contests while allowing 32.0 points and 426.3 yards per game.

East Carolina comes in on a 3-game win streak which saw them average a robust 44.7 points scored and 529.7 yards gained per game. They scored 40 points or more in each of those 3 wins. The Pirates have quietly gone about their business and are now 4-1 in AAC action and believe it or not is still alive for a conference title.  They won each of their last 2 games 26 points or more. 

College Football favorites of -4.5 or lower that are coming off back-to-back wins that each came by 17 points or more while also scoring 40 points or greater during their previous contest, and they have a season win percentage of .625 or better, versus an opponent like Memphis who allowed 37 points or more in their last game, resulted in those favorites of 4.5 or less going 21-4 ATS (84%) since 1992.

Bet on the East Carolina Pirates as a point spread favorite of 3.0 or lower.

Betting Line Provider: SuperBook
  RESULTS:   WIN    

    NBA     Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Nov 15 Ross Benjamin 3% [NBA] (527) Denver Nuggets at (528) Minnesota Timberwolves

Time: 8:10 PM EST
1H Minnesota Timberwolves -0.5 (-110)
Analysis:

Denver is red-hot having won 6 in a row and 9 of their last 10. They also covered 8 of their previous 10 as well. The Nuggets are now 9-2 (.818) on the season. Denver has played 5 road games this season and has just a +0.8 point per game differential at halftime of those contests.

Minnesota has won 4 in a row and outscored their opponents by an average of 22.0 points per game while doing so. This current win streak improved their season record to 8-4 (.667). During their 5 homes games this season the Timberwolves have led by an average of 7.2 points per contest at halftime. Minnesota lost to Denver at home in late October 127-114. However, they led that game at the half 65-57. Since the start of last season, they've played Denver 5 times and led at the half during 4 of those contests and trailed by just 1-point in the other. They covered the first half point-spread during each of those 5 meetings.

NBA home teams like Minnesota that have a winning record, versus an opponent like Denver who has covered 8 or more of their previous 10 games and has a win percentage of .750 or better, resulted in those home teams going 22-3 ATS (88%) versus the first half point-spread since the start of the 2016-2017 season. The home team's average first half point-spread in those 25 games was +1.4 and they outscored their opponents after 2 quarters of play by an average of 6.1 points per contest.

Bet on the Minnesota Timberwolves as a first half point-spread wager at between +2.0 and -2.0.

Betting Line Provider: Circa
  RESULTS:   WIN    

    NCAAF     Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Nov 15 Ross Benjamin 5% [CFB] (319) Coastal Carolina at (320) Georgia Southern

Time: 6:00 PM EST
Total Over 59.5 (-112)
Analysis:

Coastal Carolina has played 5-1 to the over in Sun Belt Conference games this season and that includes 3-0 to the over is those contests were on the road. Those 3 away games versus conference opponents averaged a combined 64.7 points scored per contest. Since taking over as head coach at Coastal Carolina, Tim Beck has witnessed his teams playing 7-0 to the over when facing teams like Georgia Southern who have a losing record and there was a combined average of 63.6 points scored per game. Coastal Carolina has seen each of their previous 3 contests overall go over the total and with a combined 73.3 points scored per game. During that 3-game stretch, the Chanticleers averaged 43.0 points scored and 422.7 total yards per contest.

Georgia Southern has gone over the total in all 4 of their home games this season. During those 4 at home, Georgia Southern averaged 40.5 points scored and 436.3 yards of total offense per game. They'll be facing a Coastal Carolina defense which has allowed 30.3 points and 421.7 yards per game over their previous 3 contests.

Bet on this game to go over the total of 60.0 or lower for a 5% Best Bet.

Betting Line Provider: DraftKings
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Nov 15 Ross Benjamin 5% [CFB] (319) Coastal Carolina at (320) Georgia Southern

Time: 6:00 PM EST
Total Over 59.5 (-112)
Analysis:

Coastal Carolina has played 5-1 to the over in Sun Belt Conference games this season and that includes 3-0 to the over is those contests were on the road. Those 3 away games versus conference opponents averaged a combined 64.7 points scored per contest. Since taking over as head coach at Coastal Carolina, Tim Beck has witnessed his teams playing 7-0 to the over when facing teams like Georgia Southern who have a losing record and there was a combined average of 63.6 points scored per game. Coastal Carolina has seen each of their previous 3 contests overall go over the total and with a combined 73.3 points scored per game. During that 3-game stretch, the Chanticleers averaged 43.0 points scored and 422.7 total yards per contest.

Georgia Southern has gone over the total in all 4 of their home games this season. During those 4 at home, Georgia Southern averaged 40.5 points scored and 436.3 yards of total offense per game. They'll be facing a Coastal Carolina defense which has allowed 30.3 points and 421.7 yards per game over their previous 3 contests.

Bet on this game to go over the total of 60.0 or lower for a 5% Best Bet.

Betting Line Provider: DraftKings
  RESULTS:   WIN    

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