Baylor has gone 0-3 SU&ATS in their last 3 games as an underdog and they were outscored by an average of 18.0 points per contest. During those 3 contests they allowed 46.0 points and 462.0 yards per game. The Bears are an atrocious -12 turnover differential during their 9 games versus FBS teams this season. Conversely, 7-3 Arizona is a +10-turnover differential in 2025.

Speaking of Arizona, they've already exceeded expectations this season after going just 4-8 last year. The Wildcats are winners of 3 in a row heading into this contest. Arizona has gone a stellar 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS at home this season. Their lone home defeat came against #10 BYU (9-1) 33-27. This will be the Wildcats final home game of the season which will provide them an emotional edge.

Arizona is averaging 154.7 yards rushing per game this season. Baylor has allowed 198.0 rushing yards per contest for the season. All College Football favorites of between -3.0 to -10.0 that average 140.0 to 190.0 yards per game rushing, and they are playing after Game 6, versus an opponent like Baylor that's allowing 190.0 to 230.0 yards rushing per contest, resulted in those favorites going 27-5 ATS since the start of the 2021 season. Those 32 favorites average point-spread was -6.8 and they outscored their opponents by 16.7 points per game. 

Bet on Arizona as a point-spread favorite of -7.0 or lower.

Marshall has played 5-1 to the over in conference games this season with a combined 71.0 points scored and 896.0 yards of total offense per contest. Appalachian State has played 4-2 to the over in conference games and there was a combined average of 60.7 points scored and 839.7 yards of total offense per contest. Marshall has also played 6-1 to the over in their last 7 overall and amassed 414 yards or more of total offense on each occasion.

Appalachian State enters this contest on a 4-game losing streak while allowing an average of 38.0 points and 498.3 yards per outing. The Mountaineers have played just 3 home games thus far in 2025 and all came versus FBS teams. During those 3 home contests they average 29.0 points scored and 393.0 yards of total offense per game.

Bet this game to go over the total of 57.0 or lower.

Washington State has played 6-0 to the under in their last 6 and with a combined average of only 32.2 points scored per game. During their last 4 contests the Cougars defense allowed just 10.5 points and 243.8 yards per game. Washington State won't be intimidated on the road versus a nationally ranked 9-1 team like James Madison. They faced nationally ranked teams on the road twice this season and lost by 3 at #5 Ole Miss and by 2 at #19 Virginia (8-2). They held those two Power 4 Conference teams to just 22.0 points per game. On a negative note, Washington State is 1-4 on the road while averaging just 15.6 points scored and 312.0 yards of total offense per game. James Madison has a stout defense as well while holding opponents to 14.2 points and 212.8 yards per game throughout their 5 at home this season.

All College Football teams like James Madison with a total of 49.0 or lower and has a net +1.2 yards or more yards per play, versus an opponent like Washington State that has between a +0.6 and -0.6 net yards per play, resulted in those matchups playing 29-9 (76.3%) to the under since the start of the 2021 season. The average total in those 38 contests was 45.2 and there was a combined 38.1 points scored per game.

Bet this game to go under the total of 43.0 or higher.

Arkansas is 0-6 in SEC play, but all 6 losses came by 9 points or fewer, and those games have averaged a combined 67.2 points scored per contest. As a matter of fact, the Arkansas offense has averaged 442.2 total yards per contest despite going winless. The Razorbacks are coming off a 23-22 loss at LSU last Saturday and that contest went under the total of 59.0. They've yet to go under the total in consecutive games this season. Arkansas has played 7-2 to the over when facing FBS opponents this season while allowing 35.1 points and scoring 32.1 points per game. Despite losing 8 in a row, Arkansas lost by 6 of those contests by 6 points or fewer.

Texas was one of the best defenses in the country during the first half of the season. However, over their last 3 contests they've allowed 34.7 points and 408.3 yards per game. A textbook example of a defense which is worn down late in the season. The Longhorns are 4-0 at home this season and averaging 38.5 points scored and 462.0 yards of total offense per game. Texas has played 4-1 to the over with Steve Sarkisian as their head coach when facing teams like Arkansas that are allowing 425.0 or more yards per game.

Bet on the game to go over the total of 59.0 or lower for a 5% Best Bet.