NCAAB     Missouri at Notre Dame  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Dec 2 Ross Benjamin 3% [CBB] (651) Missouri at (652) Notre Dame

Time: 9:00 PM EST
Notre Dame -110
Analysis:

Missouri is 8-0 but has faced the 2nd weakest schedule in the country as of this writing. The Tigers haven't beaten any team better than a #115 ranking according to KenPom. Notre Dame is 5-3 but their 3 losses came by a combined 16 points at the hands of #6 Houston, #20 Kansas, and #33 Ohio State. This is a textbook example of thinking like an oddsmaker will make your right more times than not.

Bet Notre Dame as a money line favorite of -125 or lower.

Betting Line Provider: MGM
  RESULTS:   WIN    

    NBA     Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Dec 2 Ross Benjamin 3% [NBA] (559) Memphis Grizzlies at (560) San Antonio Spurs

Time: 8:10 PM EST
1H San Antonio Spurs -2.5 (-110)
Analysis:

Memphis has trailed at the half in 9 of their 11 road games this season and were outscored 7.4 points per game while doing so. They also went 4-7 ATS versus the first half point-spread during those 11 away games. The Grizzlies are coming off a 115-107 road win at Sacramento in their previous outing, and I'll get to the significance of that result in my NBA betting angle below.

San Antonio has led at the half in 9 of their 10 home games this season. They were also 7-3 ATS the first half point-spread in those 10 home games.

NBA first half point-spread home favorites of between -2.0 to -5.5, versus an opponent coming off a road win in which they scored 110 points or more, resulted in those first half home favorites within those point-spread parameters going 89-46 ATS (65.9%) against the first half point-spread since the start of the 2016-2017 season. Those 135 home teams average first half point-spread was -3.3 and they outscored their opponents by an average of 6.5 points per contest.

Bet on the San Antonio Spurs as a first half point-spread favorite of -3.0 or lower.

Betting Line Provider: Circa
  RESULTS:   WIN    

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