NCAAB     SMU at Vanderbilt  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Dec 3 Ross Benjamin 3% [CBB] (727) SMU at (728) Vanderbilt

Time: 9:15 PM EST
Vanderbilt -10.5 (-112)
Analysis:

This point-spread speaks volumes to me. Both teams will enter this contest with perfect 8-0 records. Yet, Vanderbilt is a heavy 10.5-to-11.0-point favorite at the time of this writing. This is a think like an oddsmaker pick for me. They are begging you to take the power conference undefeated double-digit underdog. However, I'm not taking the bait.

Vanderbilt has scored 83 points or more in all 8 games this season. The Commodores are also 3-0 ATS as a favorite of -13.0 or lower and outscored those opponents by an average of 17.3 points per game. SMU has seen their last 6 contests all have a combined 161 points or more being scored.

College Basketball point-spread home favorites of between -10.0 to -19.5 that scored 175 points or more in each of their previous 5 games, versus an opponent that had a combined 155 points or more being scored in each of their previous 3 contests, resulted in those home favorite going an outstanding 22-3 ATS (88%) since the start of the 2016-2017 season.

Bet on the Vanderbilt Commodores as a point-spread favorite of -11.0 or lower.

Betting Line Provider: DraftKings
  RESULTS:   WIN    

    NBA     Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks  
Date Expert Rating Game Play
Dec 3 Ross Benjamin 3% [NBA] (579) Miami Heat at (580) Dallas Mavericks

Time: 8:40 PM EST
Miami Heat -5.0 (-109)
Analysis:

Miami is a stellar 14-7 (.667) to start the season. That includes going a red-hot 7-1 in their last 8 games.

Dallas is coming off a huge 131-121 upset win as an 11.0-point underdog at Denver. Despite that win, the mavericks are only 7-15 (.318) this season.

NBA road favorites of -3.5 to -9.5 like Miami that have a winning record, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .250 to .400 and are coming off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog of +6.0 or higher, resulted in those road favorites going 40-14 ATS (74.1%) since the start of the 1996-1997 season. The average point-spread for those road favorites was -6.4 and they outscored their opponents by an average of 10.2 points per game.

Bet the Miami Heat as a point-spread favorite of -6.0 or lower.

Betting Line Provider: SuperBook
  RESULTS:   LOSS    

SEE PAST 30 DAYS GAMES


 
MEMBERS

Username:

 
Password: