| Analysis:
This point-spread speaks volumes to me. Both teams will enter this contest with perfect 8-0 records. Yet, Vanderbilt is a heavy 10.5-to-11.0-point favorite at the time of this writing. This is a think like an oddsmaker pick for me. They are begging you to take the power conference undefeated double-digit underdog. However, I'm not taking the bait.
Vanderbilt has scored 83 points or more in all 8 games this season. The Commodores are also 3-0 ATS as a favorite of -13.0 or lower and outscored those opponents by an average of 17.3 points per game. SMU has seen their last 6 contests all have a combined 161 points or more being scored.
College Basketball point-spread home favorites of between -10.0 to -19.5 that scored 175 points or more in each of their previous 5 games, versus an opponent that had a combined 155 points or more being scored in each of their previous 3 contests, resulted in those home favorite going an outstanding 22-3 ATS (88%) since the start of the 2016-2017 season.
Bet on the Vanderbilt Commodores as a point-spread favorite of -11.0 or lower.
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